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February
2005 Newsletter
Issue Two, Volume Six
MOTHER'S LITTLE HELPER
By Mike Gasior
The title of this month's edition stems from the
amazing media circus I have borne witness to the past few weeks
regarding the steroid "scandal" in Major League Baseball.
Those of you who have been readers of this hideous newsletter of
mine for any period of time have long ago realized that I have a
difficult time suffering crybabies, and have an even deeper loathing
for hypocrites. For those and other reasons I find myself unable
to restrain making a couple of comments on America's current social
condition.
Of course I will also share a couple of thoughts
of a financial and economic basis to prevent people from seeking
an immediate refund of their subscription fee for my newsletter.
I certainly want everyone to think they are getting their money's
worth for their publication dollars.
First let me make an official announcement:
HEDGE FUND SEMINAR IN GRAND CAYMAN
We just finalized the details with our hotel in
Grand Cayman and can now tell you that the "Providing Services
to the Hedge Fund Industry" conference will be held at the
Hyatt Regency Grand Cayman Resort on May 18th, 19th and 20th.
I received several phone calls and notes from friends
on the island letting me know the Hyatt was going to be closed until
December, but the beachfront component of the resort is currently
open for business, and we are in a very nice meeting room steps
from the beach and pool.
There is still some availability for the sessions
and you can view the entire program description as well as register
at this link:
http://www.afs-seminars.com/cayman.html
The session in Bermuda last year was terrific and
I'd love to see you there.
GREAT SESSIONS BEING HELD IN LOS ANGELES,
CHICAGO AND NEW YORK
I will also be presenting four extremely popular
sessions in the next month in Los Angeles, Chicago and New York
and would love to see you or your colleagues attend:
Securities Operations, Processing & Accounting
--Chicago, March 14th and 15th, 2005
--Los Angeles, April 11th and 12th, 2005
http://www.afs-seminars.com/securities-operations.html
Hedge Funds
--Chicago, March 16th, 2005
--Los Angeles, April 13th, 2005
http://www.afs-seminars.com/hedge.html
Introduction to Securities & Markets
--New York City, March 21st, 22nd and 23rd, 2005
http://www.afs-seminars.com/introsec.html
Swaps and Swap Derivatives
--New York City, March 24th, 2005
http://www.afs-seminars.com/swap.html
THIS MONTH'S VIDEO CLIP IS "UP"
In keeping with the theme for 2005, the video commentary
this month will focus on the marketplace for preferred stocks. While
it may seem as though this topic is ripe for extreme boredom, there
have been many innovations in this segment of the market in the
last decade, which has dramatically changed the landscape for a
product historically appropriate for widows and orphans.
You can view high-speed and low-speed versions
of the clip on the homepage at:
http://www.afs-seminars.com
LET HE WHO IS WITHOUT PERFORMANCE ENHANCEMENT CAST
THE FIRST STONE
First and foremost, let me cop to lifting the "mother's
little helper" line from a Beatles tune. But frankly as I watched
the recent nauseating news conferences by Jason Giambi and Barry
Bonds, the lyric popped into my head and I haven't been able to
shake it.
And before anyone starts getting all up in arms
over the comments I am about to make, I think it is reasonable to
ask yourself the following questions first. If the answer to any
of them is "yes" I don't think you can say boo to me by
the end:
--Have you ever taken any antidepressant?
--Have you ever taken anything for your cholesterol?
--Have you ever taken something to control your blood pressure?
--Have you ever taken a pill or smeared goo on your head to try
to grow hair?
--Have you ever had any part of your body surgically enhanced?
--Have you ever taken any of the products designed for "man"
problems?
--Have you ever taken anything to help you to lose weight?
--Have you ever taken something to prevent or improve acne?
The above list is a lot shorter than I could have
made it, but based on the statistics I've observed there should
only be about 14 people in the United States who can claim to have
said "no" to all the questions. Those are the only people
who can legitimately bust my chops about what is coming next.
Barry Bonds reported to spring training a week
ago and decided to immediately hold a press conference where he
continued to be defiant and angry about the whole situation and
has yet to publicly admit that he's ever taken anything.
Jason Giambi used his press conference to "apologize"
to fans for letting them down, although never directly addressed
the topic of taking steroids. In testimony elsewhere he has admitted
taking performance-enhancing drugs, although unfortunately for him,
he apparently couldn't get his hands on the kind that make you better
at baseball. I also think that Yankee fans wouldn't had even felt
an apology was necessary Mr. Giambi averaged 50+ home runs for the
past few seasons like Mr. Bonds.
There was even an interview by George Stephanapoulos
with Arnold Schwarzenegger with Mr. Stephanapoulos asking the governor
if he had to do it over again, would he have still taken the steroids
during his body building heyday, which he has always openly admitted
he had. I give Arnold credit for answering quickly and directly
"absolutely". I don't mean to suggest that I believe that
taking them was a good idea, but I definitely like the candor and
honesty of the answer. It's a lot better than the usual weasel type
of response that politicians are more famous for.
Perhaps some of you might remember that about a
year ago I dropped an almost flippant comment into this newsletter
stating that professional sports should just let the athletes take
whatever the heck they want and then there would be nothing to police
anymore. I was surprised at the amount of email I got scolding me
for such a horrible and reckless comment, and I truthfully don't
remember getting one note that even remotely agreed with the idea.
This is where the seed for this month's comments was born.
I'm quite tired of the hypocrisy and "holier
than thou" attitude that seems to permeate from nearly ever
crevice of the American social landscape.
The media has widely reported how the election
this past November was said to be one of morals and of values. The
politicians offer that America is somehow sick of things like the
Janet Jackson stunt of last year's Super Bowl, Howard Stern and
the torrent of foul language in our popular culture.
But how does one explain how "Desperate Housewives"
and "Sex in the City" are among the most popular television
shows? Why is it that the porn industry has larger revenues than
both mainstream Hollywood movies and the live gate at professional
athletics? Somebody must be watching these programs and buying this
porn, no? And please don't begin passing judgment on me as some
overly moral, Holy Roller type either. I don't have anything at
all against "Desperate Housewives", "Sex in the City"
or porn. All three have their place in society and there are clearly
swarms of people who enjoy them very much. I'm simply trying to
paint the picture that there clearly plenty of folks out there who
on one hand lament the state of our values, and then use the other
hand to change the channel to watch Terri Hatcher naked in the shrubbery.
Now let us tackle the issue and crisis of "performance enhancement".
FACT: Last year American sprinter Kelli White won
both the 100 and 200 meter world championships in Paris, only to
have her titles stripped from her after testing positive for the
stimulant Provigil.
COUNTERFACT: The United States Air Force officially
adopted Provigil as the stimulant of choice for pilots flying extended
length combat missions.
I particularly love the irony of the above situation,
but it only begins to open the chasm that seems to exist between
what is considered acceptable behavior for the general public versus
what is okay for professional athletes to do in order to improve
their performance.
Consider these other behaviors deemed acceptable
for the general public:
--Back near the beginning of the 1990's stock market
rise, Barron's did a very interesting piece (with charts and all)
showing how the increase in stock prices was in almost perfect proportion
to the increased use of Prozac and similar anti-depressants.
--There have been studies that claim over 80% of
men who use the various medication to enhance "male performance"
are using it to make their experience more enjoyable and don't actually
have the condition that these drugs are marketed to treat. Talk
about a recreational drug.
--One of the fastest growing drugs out there isn't
even a drug. It's a poison that is injected into people's faces
to paralyze the muscles called Botox. Imagine traveling back in
time 100 years or so and explaining this idea to someone you found
on the street.
This list could go on and on and on. Why should
someone give up Big Macs when they can take a drug to reduce their
cholesterol? Why go on a diet to lose 100 pounds when I can have
part of my stomach surgically removed or the fat sucked out via
liposuction? Balding? Just rub some cream on your head or take a
pill and maybe your hair will grow back. There are lots of professional
musicians and actors making use of the high blood pressure medication
Propanolol to help them with the problem of stage fright. My doctors
are aware of my somewhat brutal travel schedule and have offered
me an assortment of drugs to help combat jet lag, including a steroid
you inject into your skin. So far I've declined these offers.
When you begin to examine the world around you,
there is an endless list of conditions, both life threatening and
trivial, which have benefited from the advancing use of modern science.
We should all thank God for the wonderful world in which many of
us are privileged to live.
But let's get off of the high horse that too many
people seem to sit.
Let me make this extremely clear. Even with my
backhanded suggestion of letting professional athletes do whatever
they'd like, I am very much against performance enhancing drugs
being allowed into sports. I was a VERY serious track and field
athlete from age 9 through high school and can still recite all
my personal bests in the events I competed in. Since I was a sprinter
and jumper I used to marvel at the records set by Jesse Owens in
the 1936 Olympics as well as those set by Bob Beamon and the sprint
team in 1968 at Mexico City. I didn't appreciate at the time how
cool it was that I could cleanly and accurately compare my results
to athletes who came years and perhaps decades before me.
But how do we compare the records that will soon
be set by Barry Bonds to those set by the immortals Babe Ruth and
Hank Aaron? That's the thing we cherish about sports; which is that
it isn't just a competition to beat the guys you are currently playing
against, but an immortal contest pitting the athlete of today versus
the heroes of the past. Baseball has steadfastly hung on to the
wooden bat for precisely that reason, but an outside influence like
pharmaceuticals has now invaded the perception of history. It is
a problem that now plagues many sports today.
The three sports that I have competed in at high
levels were track and field, tennis and most recently golf. All
of them individual endeavors and the winners vividly determined
without the need for corrupt judges or scoring. The champion is
easily separated from the loser by anyone watching the event.
Although I did it myself as a kid, I'm not sure
if I can compare the track and field records of today with those
of Jesse Owens, Bob Beamon or Lee Evans. Steroids and other performance
enhancers created that cloud.
In my other two sports, tremendous advances in
equipment have dramatically altered the game. I started out playing
with a wooden racket as a kid, and then played with aluminum and
early graphite rackets during my college and professional days,
marveling at the increase in power I enjoyed. Still, today's game
bears little resemblance to the glory days that I remember. I can
remember watching Rod Laver and thinking there would never be a
more talented all around player than him again. But in today's boom-boom
game I wonder if "Rocket" Rod would have even have even
won a single Grand Slam tournament. I suspect he might not have,
and that is definitely a shame.
Technological advances in both clubs and ball construction
have even more dramatically affected golf than tennis. Today there
are usually at least 100 PGA Tour golfers who drive the ball further
than Jack Nicklaus did during his heyday in the 1960's. I'll beg
to suggest, however, not a single one of them is a better player.
The improvement in equipment isn't all bad for some people since
it has served to extend the career length of many players. I don't
have to go back any further than last weekend for an example, in
which 53 year-old Jay Haas beat the number one player in the world,
Vijay Singh in the World Match Play Championship. It actually struck
me very funny a few years ago when Augusta National, home of The
Masters golf tournament, decided they would lengthen the golf course
to make it tougher. This drew comments that they were trying to
"Tiger proof" the course and none other than Charles Barkley
claimed racism was behind the decision. What is funny about the
comment is that even before they lengthened the golf course, there
were probably only 10 or 15 players with any sort of legitimate
chance to win The Masters. When you lengthen the course there is
now likely only 7 or 8 players with a real shot, and Tiger would
definitely be one of them. Earl Woods made the very poignant observation
that if you really wanted to "Tiger proof" a golf course,
make it a few hundred yards shorter. That way power is reduced in
the equation and now maybe a hundred guys would have a chance.
The summary of my ramble is that it remains important
to try and keep these performance enhancers out of sports at all
levels, but we need to stop acting as though everyone should be
shocked and outraged. The athletes are simply following the same
exact path that seemingly everyone in the general population is
traveling on. The path to better, faster, higher, longer, smarter,
more attractive and longer lives that would be desirous by anyone.
To expect that athletes would want for anything less for themselves
would be culturally foolish.
If sports genuinely want to discourage this type
of cheating, the sporting organizations will need to begin treating
the situation as if it were actually a serious one. Even with supposedly
tougher measures recently adopted by Major League Baseball, I think
a player can now test positive for steroids many, many times before
they will actually be banned from the game. Shoeless Joe Jackson
and Pete Rose (easily two of the best players who ever wore a uniform)
are still banned from the game for life and not in the Hall of Fame
for betting on baseball. You tell me which offense Major League
Baseball considers "serious". Barry Bonds can probably
suck down steroids like they're M&M's for the remainder of his
career and easily be elected to the Hall of Fame on the first-ballot.
He'd just better not bet on it.
MORE STUPID POLITICIAN TRICKS
Although officially retired from politics, former
senator Bob Kerry stuck his foot back into the picture with an editorial
essay that appeared in USA Today several weeks ago. I won't bore
you with the entirety of his foolishness, but I will quote for you
my favorite part:
"Social Security and Medicare are seen as
a vital part of American life. They represent a powerful intergenerational
contract between younger Americans in the work force who agree to
be taxed on behalf of older, eligible Americans."
Contract? Agree?
Personally I have signed many, many contracts in
my professional life, but I can sincerely not recollect signing
this one where I "agree" to be taxed to support older,
eligible Americans.
Please understand that I don't have anything personally
against older Americans or Social Security per se. I'm simply sick
of politicians on both sides of the aisle making these sorts of
outlandish claims as to what anyone may or may not believe. It would
be my preference that they just clearly state what THEY think or
believe, however, this trait seems all too rare in today's politics.
I cannot and will not speak the people of 1935
when Social Security was first being discussed, but here is my suspicion.
If given the choice between the Ponzi scheme that Social Security
would eventually become, or their own account that received contributions
from their pay and employer, I suspect they would have chosen the
latter. I'm still not sure if personal accounts will do much to
solve the current Social Security problems, but it would have been
a fabulous idea in 1935.
TWO EXCELLENT DVD'S
Most everyone who knows me knows of my love of
all types of music and I have shared some of my favorite musically
themed DVD's with my readers in the past. Just recently I acquired
two videos, and although they are quite different from each other,
both are incredibly interesting to watch.
The first one is a somewhat abstract title, and
a little difficult to find (although Amazon has it for $22.48) and
is titled "Mayor of the Sunset Strip". It is a documentary
chronicling the life and times of Rodney Bingenheimer, and if you
have never lived in the Los Angeles area or are under 30 years old,
"Rodney on the ROQ" was, and is, a legendary figure in
the emerging rock and roll scene in LA as a disk jockey on KROQ
who helped introduce the world to the Rolling Stones, Led Zeppelin,
The Doors, David Bowie all the way up to No Doubt. His story is
both fascinating and extremely sad. I won't even begin to list the
artists who show up in this film because they are almost too numerous
to mention. What I will tell you is that if you didn't already know
this was someone's actual life story you'd begin to think it was
a Spinal Tap/Forrest Gump type of spoof. If you love music, I promise
you this movie is something you definitely have to see.
Video number two is 210 minutes of just the best
pure musical enjoyment you can imagine. Recorded live at The Cotton
Bowl in Dallas over June 4th and 5th, 2004, the Eric Clapton Crossroads
Guitar Festival features some of the greatest musical talent from
various genres of the past 40 years. I'm not going to do offer you
much more than the following PARTIAL list of who you will see playing
live on this DVD:
--Eric Clapton
--Robert Clay
--Jimmie Vaughn
--Hubert Sumlin
--Buddy Guy
--James Taylor
--Joe Walsh
--Vince Gill
--J.J. Cale
--Carlos Santana
--John Mayer
--B.B. King
--Jonny Lang
--ZZ Top
That list of the most recognizable names also pales
in comparison to less well-known players who are equally talented.
No pretense. No competition. No B.S. Just world-class musicianship
from the opening to the end of this two-disk package. So go buy
it, pour yourself some of your favorite beverage and crank it up
as loud as you can without the neighbors calling the police.
BRAINTEASER
First and foremost, I came across the question
I'm about to propose to you and thought I was quite the smart Alec
genius, which I am prone to, and then became fairly agitated when
I realized that I'd been had. So without helping you too much, think
this situation through completely before snapping your answer off.
There is a trick here.
"If I were in Hawaii and dropped a bowling
ball in a bucket of water which is 45 degrees F, and dropped another
ball of the same weight, mass, and size in a bucket at 30 degrees
F, both of them at the same time, which ball would hit the bottom
of the bucket first?"
Give it some serious thought before peeking at
the answer, and remember that I warned you.
http://www.afs-seminars.com/brainteaser_Feb2005.html
And the answer to LAST month's brainteaser is:
Henry should have Gretchen pull the trigger again without spinning.
We know that the first chamber Gretchen fired was
one of the four empty chambers. Since the bullets were placed in
consecutive order, one of the empty chambers is followed by a bullet,
and the other three empty chambers are followed by another empty
chamber. So if Henry has Gretchen pull the trigger again, the probability
that a bullet will be fired is 1/4.
If Gretchen spins the chamber again, the probability
that she shoots Henry would be 2/6, or 1/3, since there are two
possible bullets that would be in firing position out of the six
possible chambers that would be in position.
http://www.afs-seminars.com
Copyright 2005, Michael Gasior. All Rights Reserved.
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